18+

Human vs AI

Every day the model posts its top 3 NBA picks and the 3 most likely outcomes in each game. The TENXPERIMENT team posts its own. At the end of the month, the one with more profit wins. Both sides are scored at £10 a selection, so it’s about picking, not staking.

Human vs AI · November 2026Human leads by £161.80
HumanTENXPERIMENT picks (Prime, Select, Explore)
Profit+£152.80
ROI61.1%
Hit rate60%
Record15W–10L
Pending3
AIThe model’s daily top 3
Profit-£9.00
ROI-30%
Hit rate33.3%
Record1W–2L
Pending3

Scored at a level £10 per selection for both sides, so stake size doesn’t decide the winner. Human returns use the real settlement ratio (voids included). The AI’s picks are published automatically before tip-off, locked, and settled from the final box score. Winner decided on profit at the end of the month.

Today from the AI

AI top 3 · Mon 9 NovPublished 9 Nov 12:03 London · locked
#1Pending

Cade Cunningham Under 8.5 assists

Detroit Pistons v Washington Wizards · Tue 00:00 London

2.05Model 60%Market 46%Value +23%

Cade Cunningham assists: averaging 7.7 over his last 9 games, went over 8.5 in 1 of 9.

#2Pending

Luka Doncic Over 4.5 threes made

Atlanta Hawks v Los Angeles Lakers · Tue 00:00 London

1.89Model 64%Market 50%Value +21%

Luka Doncic threes made: averaging 5.8 over his last 9 games, went over 4.5 in 8 of 9.

#3Pending

Obi Toppin Over 4.5 rebounds

Dallas Mavericks v Indiana Pacers · Tue 01:00 London

1.89Model 63%Market 50%Value +19%

Obi Toppin rebounds: averaging 5.4 over his last 7 games, went over 4.5 in 6 of 7.

Game by game · 3 most likely outcomes

Atlanta Hawks v Los Angeles LakersTue 00:00
  1. Matisse Thybulle Under 2.5 rebounds70% · 1.65
    Matisse Thybulle rebounds: averaging 1.6 over his last 10 games, went over 2.5 in 1 of 10.
  2. Sandro Mamukelashvili Over 0.5 threes made67% · 1.45
    Sandro Mamukelashvili threes made: averaging 1.1 over his last 10 games, went over 0.5 in 7 of 10.
  3. Luka Doncic Over 4.5 threes made64% · 1.89
    Luka Doncic threes made: averaging 5.8 over his last 9 games, went over 4.5 in 8 of 9.
Detroit Pistons v Washington WizardsTue 00:00
  1. AJ Dybantsa Under 1.5 threes made74% · 1.41
    AJ Dybantsa threes made: averaging 0.8 over his last 6 games, went over 1.5 in 0 of 6.
  2. Duncan Robinson Under 2.5 rebounds67% · 1.55
    Duncan Robinson rebounds: averaging 1.7 over his last 9 games, went over 2.5 in 2 of 9.
  3. Cade Cunningham Under 26.5 points62% · 1.80
    Cade Cunningham points: averaging 22.9 over his last 9 games, went over 26.5 in 2 of 9.
Charlotte Hornets v Cleveland CavaliersTue 00:00
  1. Peyton Watson Over 1.5 assists71% · 1.53
    Peyton Watson assists: averaging 2.9 over his last 8 games, went over 1.5 in 7 of 8.
  2. Grayson Allen Under 3.5 rebounds65% · 1.71
    Grayson Allen rebounds: averaging 2.7 over his last 10 games, went over 3.5 in 2 of 10.
  3. Sion James Under 1.5 threes made61% · 1.77
    Sion James threes made: averaging 1.1 over his last 10 games, went over 1.5 in 2 of 10.
Toronto Raptors v Memphis GrizzliesTue 00:30
  1. Collin Murray-Boyles Under 2.5 assists73% · 1.54
    Collin Murray-Boyles assists: averaging 1.3 over his last 9 games, went over 2.5 in 1 of 9.
  2. Cedric Coward Over 1.5 threes made69% · 1.68
    Cedric Coward threes made: averaging 2.6 over his last 8 games, went over 1.5 in 7 of 8.
  3. Ja'Kobe Walter Over 1.5 assists69% · 1.61
    Ja'Kobe Walter assists: averaging 2.4 over his last 9 games, went over 1.5 in 8 of 9.
Dallas Mavericks v Indiana PacersTue 01:00
  1. P.J. Washington Over 1.5 threes made64% · 1.67
    P.J. Washington threes made: averaging 2.4 over his last 10 games, went over 1.5 in 8 of 10.
  2. Dallas Mavericks to win63% · 1.70
    Expected margin +6.9 for DAL (last-10 point differential plus home court).
  3. Obi Toppin Over 4.5 rebounds63% · 1.89
    Obi Toppin rebounds: averaging 5.4 over his last 7 games, went over 4.5 in 6 of 7.
Houston Rockets v Denver NuggetsTue 01:30
  1. Marcus Smart Over 1.5 rebounds69% · 1.62
    Marcus Smart rebounds: averaging 2.7 over his last 7 games, went over 1.5 in 6 of 7.
  2. Tari Eason Under 1.5 threes made68% · 1.53
    Tari Eason threes made: averaging 0.8 over his last 10 games, went over 1.5 in 2 of 10.
  3. Alperen Sengun Over 6.5 assists63% · 1.71
    Alperen Sengun assists: averaging 7.8 over his last 8 games, went over 6.5 in 6 of 8.
Phoenix Suns v San Antonio SpursTue 02:00
  1. Collin Gillespie Under 3.5 rebounds71% · 1.61
    Collin Gillespie rebounds: averaging 2.2 over his last 8 games, went over 3.5 in 1 of 8.
  2. Stephon Castle Over 4.5 rebounds66% · 1.67
    Stephon Castle rebounds: averaging 5.9 over his last 10 games, went over 4.5 in 8 of 10.
  3. Miles Bridges Over 2.5 assists64% · 1.61
    Miles Bridges assists: averaging 3.6 over his last 8 games, went over 2.5 in 6 of 8.
Golden State Warriors v New Orleans PelicansTue 03:00
  1. Trey Murphy III Over 2.5 assists70% · 1.58
    Trey Murphy III assists: averaging 3.6 over his last 9 games, went over 2.5 in 8 of 9.
  2. Dejounte Murray Under 1.5 threes made68% · 1.62
    Dejounte Murray threes made: averaging 0.7 over his last 7 games, went over 1.5 in 1 of 7.
  3. Jeremiah Fears Under 1.5 threes made63% · 1.64
    Jeremiah Fears threes made: averaging 1.1 over his last 10 games, went over 1.5 in 2 of 10.

How it works: player props use each player’s last 10 box scores; totals use both teams’ last-10 scoring; winners use last-10 point differential plus home court. The raw estimate is blended 50/50 with the bookmaker’s fair price, because ten games is a small sample. Top 3 = biggest value at 55%+ likelihood. Model output, not advice. 18+.

Every AI pick, settled

AI-20261109-1BasketballAI · VirtualPending
Posted 9 Nov · 12:03 London

Detroit Pistons v Washington Wizards

Cade Cunningham Under 8.5 assists

Odds 2.05 · Stake £10.00 · Confidence 6/10 · Event 10 Nov 00:00 London

Why this pick

Cade Cunningham assists: averaging 7.7 over his last 9 games, went over 8.5 in 1 of 9.

Model 60% (last-10 form 74%, blended with the market). Price 2.05 (consensus) implies 49%. Expected value +23.2% per £1 staked.

Audit timeline
  1. 9 Nov 2026 12:03 · Published
AI-20261109-2BasketballAI · VirtualPending
Posted 9 Nov · 12:03 London

Atlanta Hawks v Los Angeles Lakers

Luka Doncic Over 4.5 threes made

Odds 1.89 · Stake £10.00 · Confidence 6/10 · Event 10 Nov 00:00 London

Why this pick

Luka Doncic threes made: averaging 5.8 over his last 9 games, went over 4.5 in 8 of 9.

Model 64% (last-10 form 79%, blended with the market). Price 1.89 (consensus) implies 53%. Expected value +21.4% per £1 staked.

Audit timeline
  1. 9 Nov 2026 12:03 · Published
AI-20261109-3BasketballAI · VirtualPending
Posted 9 Nov · 12:03 London

Dallas Mavericks v Indiana Pacers

Obi Toppin Over 4.5 rebounds

Odds 1.89 · Stake £10.00 · Confidence 6/10 · Event 10 Nov 01:00 London

Why this pick

Obi Toppin rebounds: averaging 5.4 over his last 7 games, went over 4.5 in 6 of 7.

Model 63% (last-10 form 77%, blended with the market). Price 1.89 (consensus) implies 53%. Expected value +19.1% per £1 staked.

Audit timeline
  1. 9 Nov 2026 12:03 · Published
AI-20261108-3BasketballAI · VirtualLost
Posted 8 Nov · 10:33 London

Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum Over 6.5 assists

Odds 1.84 · Stake £10.00 · Confidence 7/10 · CLV -25.2% vs fair · Event 9 Nov 01:00 London

Virtual return £0.00 · Net -£10.00

Why this pick

Jayson Tatum assists: averaging 8.0 over his last 8 games, went over 6.5 in 7 of 8.

Model 65% (last-10 form 79%, blended with the market). Price 1.84 (consensus) implies 54%. Expected value +19.7% per £1 staked.

Audit timeline
  1. 8 Nov 2026 10:33 · Published
  2. 9 Nov 2026 09:31 · Settled · Auto-settled. Jayson Tatum finished with 6 assists (line 6.5).
AI-20261108-1BasketballAI · VirtualWon
Posted 8 Nov · 10:33 London

Detroit Pistons v Los Angeles Lakers

Cade Cunningham Under 8.5 assists

Odds 2.10 · Stake £10.00 · Confidence 6/10 · CLV +5% vs fair · Event 8 Nov 23:00 London

Virtual return £21.00 · Net +£11.00

Why this pick

Cade Cunningham assists: averaging 7.6 over his last 8 games, went over 8.5 in 1 of 8.

Model 59% (last-10 form 74%, blended with the market). Price 2.10 (consensus) implies 48%. Expected value +24.4% per £1 staked.

Audit timeline
  1. 8 Nov 2026 10:33 · Published
  2. 9 Nov 2026 09:31 · Settled · Auto-settled. Cade Cunningham finished with 8 assists (line 8.5).
AI-20261108-2BasketballAI · VirtualLost
Posted 8 Nov · 10:33 London

Los Angeles Clippers v New Orleans Pelicans

Derrick Jones Jr. Over 1.5 threes made

Odds 2.13 · Stake £10.00 · Confidence 6/10 · CLV -6.99% vs fair · Event 9 Nov 02:00 London

Virtual return £0.00 · Net -£10.00

Why this pick

Derrick Jones Jr. threes made: averaging 2.1 over his last 7 games, went over 1.5 in 5 of 7.

Model 57% (last-10 form 70%, blended with the market). Price 2.13 (consensus) implies 47%. Expected value +21.6% per £1 staked.

Audit timeline
  1. 8 Nov 2026 10:33 · Published
  2. 9 Nov 2026 09:31 · Settled · Auto-settled. Derrick Jones Jr. finished with 0 threes made (line 1.5).

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